Lucknow Temperature Market Guide

VILK • Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport
Polymarket

Lucknow, the capital of Uttar Pradesh in northern India, presents a challenging subtropical trading environment dominated by extreme seasonal contrasts. From scorching pre-monsoon heat exceeding 45°C to pleasant winter days, this Indo-Gangetic Plain city experiences dramatic temperature swings throughout the year.

Quick Facts

Station Code VILK
Location Lucknow, India
Coordinates 26.7606°N, 80.8893°E
Elevation 410 ft (125 m)
Timezone IST (Asia/Kolkata)
NWS Office India Meteorological Department

About VILK Weather Station

Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport (VILK) serves as the primary weather observation station for Lucknow. Located about 15 kilometers from the city center, the airport sits at 410 feet (125 meters) elevation on the Indo-Gangetic Plain.

Lucknow's position in the heart of northern India places it far from any maritime influence, resulting in a continental climate with extreme seasonal temperature variations. Observations follow India Meteorological Department (IMD) standards.

The flat terrain of the Gangetic Plain allows both extreme heat in summer and cold waves in winter to affect the region.

Climate Patterns

Lucknow has a humid subtropical climate (Koppen: Cwa) with three distinct seasons: a hot summer, a wet monsoon, and a cool winter. Temperature extremes are significant, ranging from near-freezing winter nights to pre-monsoon highs exceeding 45°C (113°F).

The pre-monsoon period (April-June) brings the hottest temperatures, with May often seeing multiple days above 45°C. The monsoon (July-September) brings relief with cloudy skies and rain reducing temperatures to the low 30s°C.

Winter (November-February) is pleasant with highs around 20-25°C (68-77°F), though cold waves can drop nighttime temperatures to near freezing.

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Seasonal Trading Considerations

Winter (November - February): Pleasant days around 20-25°C (68-77°F). Cold waves from the Himalayas can bring fog and near-freezing nights. Best weather season.

Pre-Monsoon/Summer (March - June): Extreme heat building from March. May-June sees highs of 42-47°C (108-117°F). Dust storms (loo) bring dry, scorching winds.

Monsoon (July - September): Southwest monsoon brings rain and relief. Temperatures drop to 30-34°C (86-93°F). High humidity. Rainfall varies significantly year-to-year.

Post-Monsoon (October): Transition month with decreasing rain and humidity. Temperatures gradually moderate. Pleasant conditions return.

Trading Tips for Lucknow

The pre-monsoon heat wave season (May-June) produces the most extreme temperatures. Track western disturbances and dust storm activity, which can temporarily modify temperatures.

Monsoon onset date is critical - the arrival of monsoon rains can drop temperatures 10°C or more within days. The typical onset is late June to early July, but varies by 2-3 weeks.

Winter cold waves are associated with western disturbances bringing cold air from Central Asia. These events can persist for several days and keep temperatures well below normal.

Dense fog in December-January can significantly impact morning temperatures and delay daytime heating. Lucknow experiences some of India's worst winter fog.

India Meteorological Department (IMD) provides forecasts, but European and American models also perform well for this region.

Data Release Schedule

Typical release times for key data products at VILK. Times shown in UTC.

Data Type Typical Time (UTC) Variability
METAR
Hourly observations
Hourly at :53 ±1 min

6-Hour High/Low Reports

These METARs include 6-hour maximum and minimum temperatures, useful for tracking intraday temperature trends.

00:53 UTC
06:53 UTC
12:53 UTC
18:53 UTC

Note: Times are approximate and may vary. CLI reports are the official resolution source for temperature markets. See NWS Data Guide for more information.

Forecasting Challenges

Extreme Heat Magnitude: Pre-monsoon temperatures can exceed 45°C, making precise forecasts of extreme heat difficult.

Monsoon Variability: The timing, intensity, and breaks in monsoon rainfall significantly impact temperatures.

Dust Storms: Pre-monsoon dust storms (loo) can rapidly change conditions and affect temperature readings.

Fog Events: Winter fog can persist for days, suppressing daytime heating and creating forecast challenges.

Western Disturbances: These systems bring variable weather year-round, especially impacting winter temperatures.

Historical Temperature Records

Record High: 48.0°C (118.4°F) recorded in May-June.

Record Low: -0.6°C (31°F) recorded in January 1930.

Historical Note: Lucknow regularly experiences some of the hottest temperatures in India during the pre-monsoon season, rivaling conditions in Rajasthan and Pakistan.

📡 Official Data Sources

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