Madrid Temperature Market Guide

LEMD • Adolfo Suarez Madrid-Barajas Airport
IBKR Polymarket

Madrid, Spain's capital, presents a continental Mediterranean trading environment at the heart of the Iberian Peninsula. Sitting at over 2,000 feet elevation on the Castilian plateau, the city experiences hot, dry summers and cold winters distinctly different from coastal Spain.

Quick Facts

Station Code LEMD
Location Madrid, Spain
Coordinates 40.4667°N, 3.5556°W
Elevation 2,001 ft (610 m)
Timezone CET (Europe/Madrid)
NWS Office AEMET Spain

About LEMD Weather Station

Adolfo Suarez Madrid-Barajas Airport (LEMD) serves as the primary weather observation station for Madrid. Located about 12 kilometers northeast of the city center, the airport sits at 2,001 feet (610 meters) elevation on the Castilian Meseta.

Madrid's high elevation and interior position create a continental version of the Mediterranean climate with larger temperature extremes. Temperature observations follow AEMET (Spanish meteorological service) standards.

The surrounding sierra mountains influence local weather patterns and protect the city from maritime influences.

Climate Patterns

Madrid has a hot-summer Mediterranean climate (Koppen: Csa) with strong continental characteristics. The city experiences very hot, dry summers and cold winters for its latitude.

Summer highs typically reach 33-35°C (91-95°F) with low humidity. Heat waves routinely push temperatures above 40°C. Winters bring highs around 10-12°C (50-54°F), occasionally dropping below freezing.

The plateau location creates large diurnal temperature ranges - summer nights can cool to 18-20°C even after daytime highs above 35°C.

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Seasonal Trading Considerations

Winter (December - February): Cold for Spain with highs 9-12°C (48-54°F). Frost common at night. Occasional snow. Cold waves from the north bring coldest temperatures.

Spring (March - May): Rapid warming with variable conditions. Late frost possible in March. Pleasant temperatures 18-25°C.

Summer (June - September): Hot and dry with highs 33-38°C (91-100°F). Heat waves exceed 40°C. Very low humidity. Almost no rain.

Autumn (October - November): Cooling gradually. Pleasant October. First significant rain returns. Increasing cloud cover.

Trading Tips for Madrid

Madrid's elevation creates significant temperature differences from coastal Spain. The city runs 8-12°C hotter than Mediterranean coast cities in summer and colder in winter.

Summer heat waves are intense - Madrid regularly exceeds 40°C. Track African heat plumes and subtropical ridge position for extreme heat potential.

The large diurnal range in summer means morning temperatures provide limited guidance for afternoon highs. Clear skies and dry air allow rapid heating.

Winter cold waves occur when cold air from Northern Europe or Siberia penetrates the Iberian Peninsula. These events can bring subfreezing temperatures for multiple days.

AEMET provides excellent forecasts. The European model (ECMWF) and Spanish models are highly reliable for Madrid.

Data Release Schedule

Typical release times for key data products at LEMD. Times shown in UTC.

Data Type Typical Time (UTC) Variability
METAR
Hourly observations
Hourly at :53 ±1 min

6-Hour High/Low Reports

These METARs include 6-hour maximum and minimum temperatures, useful for tracking intraday temperature trends.

00:53 UTC
06:53 UTC
12:53 UTC
18:53 UTC

Note: Times are approximate and may vary. CLI reports are the official resolution source for temperature markets. See NWS Data Guide for more information.

Forecasting Challenges

Heat Wave Intensity: Summer heat waves can exceed 42°C - forecasting the magnitude of extreme events is challenging.

Elevation Effects: The 610m elevation creates different conditions than low-elevation Spanish cities.

Continental Extremes: Interior position allows both extreme heat and cold surpassing coastal forecasts.

Diurnal Range: The large day-to-night temperature swing complicates forecasting.

Historical Temperature Records

Record High: 42.2°C (108°F) recorded in July 2022.

Record Low: -14.8°C (5.4°F) recorded in January 1885.

Historical Note: Madrid's plateau position creates one of Europe's largest annual temperature ranges. The city regularly experiences both intense heat waves and winter cold snaps.

📡 Official Data Sources

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